Editor��s Note: This is a free edition of The Technical Indicator, a daily MarketWatch subscriber newsletter. To get this column each market day, click here.
The Technical Indicator starts its sixteenth year this month.
Against this backdrop, the U.S. benchmarks have weathered an unusually jagged 2018 first-half, though the market technicals have firmed with a strong third-quarter start. The charts below add color:
Before detailing the U.S. markets�� wider view, the S&P 500��s SPX, +0.22% �hourly chart highlights the past two weeks.
As illustrated, the S&P has knifed atop the May peak (2,742) and rallied to next resistance.
The range top matches the S&P��s five-month closing peak (2,786.9), established last month, and is currently under siege. On further strength, slightly more distant overhead matches the March peak (2,802).
Similarly, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.46% �has come to life.
In its case, the blue-chip benchmark has reclaimed the 200- and 50-day moving averages, reaching positive year-to-date territory slightly above the 2017 close (24,719).
Tactically, the former range top closely matches this week��s gap (24,520) and pivots to support.
Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite remains the strongest big three U.S. benchmark.
Recall that its recent price action resembles that of the S&P 500. Both benchmarks have knifed atop the breakdown point �� Nasdaq 7,637 and S&P 2,742 �� and subsequently extended the breakout.
Widening the view to six months adds perspective.
On this wider view, the Nasdaq has rallied sharply from the 50-day moving average, an area closely matching major support (7,474). Bullish price action.
The strong July start places the Nasdaq��s record close (7,781.5) and absolute record peak (7,806.6) firmly within view.
Looking elsewhere, the Dow Jones Industrial remains the weakest widely-tracked U.S. benchmark.
Still, the index has reclaimed its 200- and 50-day moving averages �� across two sessions �� rising to challenge familiar overhead.
Specifically, resistance broadly spans from 24,719 to 24,876, levels matching the 2017 close and 2017 peak. A close higher would place the Dow in recently less-charted territory, opening the path to potentially swift follow-through.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has reclaimed its breakdown point (2,742) knifing from a well-defined range.
The prevailing upturn originates from major support at the 2017 peak (2,695). The June low (2,692) closely matched support.
The bigger picture
Collectively, U.S. stocks are off to a constructive third-quarter start.
Each big three benchmark has rallied atop major resistance �� including S&P 2,742 and Nasdaq 7,637 �� a move initially fueled by last week��s strong monthly U.S. jobs report. The breakout has subsequently followed through despite persistent trade-related uncertainty.
Moving to the small-caps, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF remains the strongest widely-tracked U.S. benchmark.
The July rally punctuates a successful test of the 50-day moving average, and places all-time highs within view. The IWM��s record close (169.97) is closely followed by the absolute record peak (170.20).
Meanwhile, the S&P MidCap 400 has knifed to a stealth breakout attempt.
In fact, Monday��s close (365.39) marked a fractional record close, eclipsing the former record by just 25 cents.
The MDY��s absolute all-time high (366.10), established June 12, is currently under siege.
Looking elsewhere, the SPDR Trust S&P 500 has reclaimed its breakdown point (274.25) a level matching the May range top.
The rally places the June peak (279.48) within striking distance. The pending retest should be a useful bull-bear gauge.
Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 is acting well technically.
To start, the S&P has knifed atop its breakdown point (2,742) rising straight to its next significant hurdle. Resistance matches the June closing peak (2,687), and is currently under siege.
Moreover, the July rally originates from major support matching the 2017 peak (2,695). The June low registered just three points lower.
Put differently, the June downturn spanned 99 points �� from top to bottom �� and the S&P has rallied swiftly to its latest crack at the range top.
On further strength, the March peak (2,802) marks an inflection point, while the January gap broadly spans from 2,838 to 2,851.
More broadly, an intermediate-term target projects from the June low to about 2,890, a level surpassing the S&P��s all-time high (2,872).
Beyond specific levels, the S&P 500��s intermediate- to longer-term bias remains bullish despite the admittedly jagged 2018 backdrop. The retest of the range top, currently underway, should add color.
See also: Charting the S&P 500��s new range amid early third-quarter cross currents.
Tuesday��s Watch List
The charts below detail names that are technically well positioned. These are radar screen names �� sectors or stocks poised to move in the near term. For the original comments on the stocks below, see The Technical Indicator Library.
Initially profiled May 9, the SPDR S&P Oil and Gas Exploration & Production ETF XOP, -0.16% �has added 7.6% and remains well positioned.
As illustrated, the group has rallied from the 50-day moving average, a recent bull-bear inflection point. (See the April breakout.)
The prevailing upturn also punctuates a successful test of the breakout point, an area defined by the January and April peaks.
More broadly, the group is rising from a continuation pattern �� underpinned by the 200-week moving average �� illustrated on the three-year chart. The July rally opens the path to much less-charted territory, and potentially material upside follow-through.
Conversely, the Financial Select Sector SPDR XLF, -0.40% �remains a 2018 laggard.
Still, the group has come to life this week, rising from seven-month lows to reclaim the breakdown point (26.50) on increased volume.
More distant overhead matches the 50- and 200-day moving averages, an area closely followed by trendline resistance. An eventual close higher would likely signal a trend shift, strengthening the broad-market bull case. The pending retest is worth tracking.
Charting well positioned Dow 30 components
Initially profiled April 30, Dow 30 component Nike, Inc. NKE, +0.35% �has returned 11.1% and remains well positioned.
Late last month, the shares gapped to all-time highs, rising after the company��s strong fourth-quarter results.
The ensuing pullback has been comparably flat, placing the shares at an attractive entry near the breakout point and 4.8% under the June peak.
Looking elsewhere, 3M Co. MMM, +0.17% �is a beaten down Dow 30 component showing signs of life. (Yield = 2.7%.)
As illustrated, the shares have edged atop a nearly six-month downtrend that closely tracks the 50-day moving average, currently 199.90.
The upturn comes from a tight two-week range �� underpinned by major support �� laying the groundwork for potentially more decisive follow-through. Tactically, the former range top, circa 199, closely matches the trendline, and a breakout attempt is in play barring a violation.
Meanwhile, Coca-Cola Co. KO, +1.15% �is a third Dow 30 component positioned to rise. (Yield = 3.5%.)
Late last week, the shares cleared trendline resistance, rising to challenge the 200-day moving average, currently 44.70. This area closely matches a four-month range top (45.10) and an eventual close higher opens the path to less-charted territory.
Tactically, the trendline pivots to support, circa 44.00, and the recovery attempt is intact barring a violation.
Finally, VMWare, Inc. VMW, +0.63% ��� not a Dow 30 component �� is a well positioned large-cap data storage name.
As illustrated, the shares have recently knifed to a record close, rising after parent Dell Technologies announced it will return to the public markets via acquisition of its tracking stock, reducing the chances of a reverse merger with VMWare.
The ensuing pullback places the shares at an attractive entry near the top of the gap (153.60) and 6.1% under the July peak. A slightly deeper floor matches the trendline and the bottom of the gap (149.00).
Editor��s Note: This is a free edition of The Technical Indicator, a daily MarketWatch subscriber newsletter. To get this column each market day, click here.
Still well positioned
The table below includes names recently profiled in The Technical Indicator that remain well positioned. For the original comments, see The Technical Indicator Library.
| Company | Symbol | Date Profiled |
| NetEase, Inc. | NTES | July 9 |
| Hess Corp. | HES | July 9 |
| Dish Network Corp. | DISH | July 9 |
| Seattle Genetics, Inc. | SGEN | July 9 |
| Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | July 5 |
| Kroger Co. | KR | July 5 |
| Iron Mountain, Inc. | IRM | July 5 |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited | AEM | July 5 |
| Silicon Motion Technology Corp. | SIMO | July 3 |
| CyrusOne, Inc. | CONE | July 3 |
| At Home Group, Inc. | HOME | July 3 |
| FleetCor Technologies, Inc. | FLT | July 2 |
| Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. | TNDM | July 2 |
| Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. | DO | July 2 |
| Oceaneering International, Inc. | OII | June 29 |
| PTC, Inc. | PTC | June 29 |
| Puma Biotechnology, Inc. | PBYI | June 29 |
| NII Holdings, Inc. | NIHD | June 29 |
| Cirrus Logic, Inc. | CRUS | June 27 |
| BioMarin Pharmaceutical, Inc. | BMRN | June 27 |
| Canada Goose Holdings, Inc. | GOOS | June 27 |
| Church & Dwight Co., Inc. | CHD | June 27 |
| iRobot Corp. | IRBT | June 25 |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | CF | June 25 |
| Marathon Oil Corp. | MRO | June 25 |
| Procter & Gamble Co. | PG | June 22 |
| Semtech Corp. | SMTC | June 22 |
| Lands�� End, Inc. | LE | June 21 |
| Endeavor Silver Corp. | EXK | June 21 |
| Merck & Co., Inc. | MRK | June 21 |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc. | WSM | June 20 |
| Spark Therapeutics, Inc. | ONCE | June 20 |
| Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. | VSH | June 18 |
| Dillard��s, Inc. | DDS | June 18 |
| Alphabet, Inc. | GOOGL | June 15 |
| Allergan | AGN | June 15 |
| Pepsico, Inc. | PEP | June 14 |
| Glu Mobile, Inc. | GLUU | June 14 |
| Mosaic Co. | MOS | June 13 |
| Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR | XLP | June 13 |
| Roku, Inc. | ROKU | June 12 |
| Analog Devices, Inc. | ADI | June 12 |
| Viking Therapeutics, Inc. | VKTX | June 12 |
| Medicines Co. | MDCO | June 11 |
| Health Care Select Sector SPDR | XLV | June 8 |
| Monster Beverage Corp. | MNST | June 7 |
| VMWare, Inc. | VMW | June 6 |
| SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | XBI | June 5 |
| Twitter, Inc. | TWTR | June 5 |
| Kohl��s Corp. | KSS | June 5 |
| Pan American Silver Corp. | PAAS | May 25 |
| Immunomedics, Inc. | IMMU | May 24 |
| Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | SUPN | May 23 |
| Electronic Arts, Inc. | EA | May 22 |
| Momo, Inc. | MOMO | May 22 |
| Union Pacific Corp. | UNP | May 21 |
| Twilio, Inc. | TWLO | May 21 |
| Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ICPT | May 21 |
| Energy Select Sector SDPR | XLE | May 18 |
| Range Resources Corp. | RRC | May 17 |
| SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF | XME | May 17 |
| SPDR S&P Retail ETF | XRT | May 15 |
| Lowe��s Companies, Inc. | LOW | May 14 |
| Texas Instruments, Inc. | TXN | May 11 |
| PowerShares QQQ Trust | QQQ | May 10 |
| Facebook, Inc. | FB | May 9 |
| Electronics for Imaging, Inc. | EFII | May 9 |
| SPDR S&P Oil and Gas Exploration & Production ETF | XOP | May 9 |
| Coupa Software, Inc. | COUP | May 8 |
| Apple, Inc. | AAPL | May 7 |
| PDC Energy, Inc. | PDCE | May 7 |
| Under Armour, Inc. | UA | May 2 |
| Norfolk Southern Corp. | NSC | May 2 |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | AMD | May 1 |
| UnitedHealth Group, Inc. | UNH | Apr. 30 |
| Nike, Inc. | NKE | Apr. 30 |
| DSW, Inc. | DSW | Apr. 30 |
| Home Depot, Inc. | HD | Apr. 27 |
| Noble Energy, Inc. | NBL | Apr. 27 |
| Costco Wholesale Corp. | COST | Apr. 26 |
| CSX Corp. | CSX | Apr. 26 |
| Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | AAOI | Apr. 19 |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | CMG | Apr. 19 |
| Wingstop, Inc. | WING | Apr. 19 |
| F5 Networks, Inc. | FFIV | Apr. 18 |
| EOG Resources, Inc. | EOG | Apr. 11 |
| Autodesk, Inc. | ADSK | Apr. 10 |
| NetApp, Inc. | NTAP | Apr. 9 |
| Whiting Petroleum Corp. | WLL | Mar. 22 |
| Domino��s Pizza, Inc. | DPZ | Mar. 21 |
| Veeva Systems, Inc. | VEEV | Mar. 15 |
| Burlington Stores, Inc. | BURL | Mar. 14 |
| Baozun, Inc. | BZUN | Mar. 9 |
| AxoGen, Inc. | AXGN | Mar. 8 |
| TJX Companies, Inc. | TJX | Mar. 6 |
| Chart Industries, Inc. | GTLS | Mar. 6 |
| Macy��s, Inc. | M | Mar. 5 |
| Five9, Inc. | FIVN | Mar. 5 |
| LivePerson, Inc. | LPSN | Feb. 28 |
| VeriSign, Inc. | VRSN | Feb. 26 |
| Shutterfly, Inc. | SFLY | Feb. 22 |
| ServiceNow, Inc. | NOW | Feb. 21 |
| Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | PANW | Feb. 16 |
| Adobe Systems, Inc. | ADBE | Feb. 16 |
| Salesforce.com, Inc. | CRM | Feb. 12 |
| Fortinet, Inc. | FTNT | Jan 19 |
| Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Corp. | ARWR | Jan. 11 |
| Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. | SRPT | Jan. 3 |
| MSCI, Inc. | MSCI | Nov. 20 |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc. | MSI | Nov. 14 |
| Lululemon Athletica, Inc. | LULU | Oct. 24 |
| HubSpot, Inc. | HUBS | Oct. 4 |
| XPO Logistics, Inc. | XPO | Oct. 2 |
| Nvidia Corp. | NVDA | Sept. 27 |
| Bottomline Technologies, Inc. | EPAY | July 13 |
| GrubHub, Inc. | GRUB | May 4 |
| Square, Inc. | SQ | Mar. 3 |
| Netflix, Inc. | NFLX | Oct. 4 |
| Microsoft Corp. | MSFT | Aug. 5 |

Michael Ashbaugh
Michael Ashbaugh writes technical analysis for MarketWatch and is editor of MarketWatch's "The Technical Indicator" newsletter.
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